UN forecast: 2017 = 7.6; 30 = 8.6; 50 = 9.8; 2100 = 11.2. See Pew, better analysis. WB 2019. The Conversation, more critical. Stewart blog most intriguing. Graphs.
Only a few countries, all poor but horrific consequences. Aging pyramids, w consequences. See WB blogs.
Pop growth (see Ehrlich text) among poorest, so social costs, not growth, will ensue. By def, mortality must increase. Appears not to embed CCIR.
Review key sources:
- Stern report; others
- J Sachs
- Coal collapsing; See BBG.
Approach per CCIR, but need a category
Delphi as Zettelkasten or EIC, compiles, uh, WaynesWorld as PostProfWork.
Delphi captures mission of lighting a path to the future (2050), which, to me, looks bleak. So, rediscover notion of ProfWork as K2L around a speculative foresight knowledge base, of sorts.
Major breakthrough based on CMS in WP.